Friday, November 05, 2010

Guesstimates on November 5, 2010

December S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1210-1225. I think this first attempt at a breakout above the April top at 1216 will fail and be followed by a break of 30-40 points. After that the march to 1300 will resume.

QQQQ: Next upside target is 54.00.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): The thirty year yield has dropped well below long term support at 3.85%. I think the market is at a juncture like that of December 2008 - fast drop in yield that will be followed by a fast rise. The bonds will soon begin a move to 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has dropped more than I expected. Still, I think the next big move in yields will be upward. I think that the notes will soon begin a swing up to 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro shows no signs of a top. Next target is 143.50.

Dollar-Yen: A drop into the 78.00 - 79.00 range is underway and I think an important low will form in that zone.

December Crude: I still think crude oil is headed for 50.00.

GLD – December Gold: Upside target is 1380 has been reached but the market still has the bit between its teeth. Next upside target is 1480.

SLV - December Silver: Next upside target is 26.50 has been reached. I see no sign that the rhythm of the advance has faltered. Next stop is 29.50.

Google: The 475 level is support. A move that should take GOOG above 700 is underway.

Apple: Should reach 350 (at least) before the bull market ends. Support is at 265.

1 comment:

CEO Trader said...

Bearish on crude while bullish on precious metals? Don't they both fall on dollar strength?
Do you use point and figure target projections?
Btw, I'm new to your blog and will study more about your methods.