Thursday, September 26, 2013

Guesstimates on September 26, 2013

December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s day session range estimate for the December contract is 1686-1700. The S&P 500 and the advance-decline line are still trading above their 50 day moving averages while the Dow moved below its moving average yesterday. If the majority of these three indicators trades below their respective moving averages I will turn bearish a look for a move below 1600. In the meantime the trend remains upward and will likely carry the ES to 1775 or higher during the next couple of months
QQQ:  Upside target is 86.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think the market will move to 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro is headed for 1.4000.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is headed for 107.00.
November Crude:  Crude has spent three consecutive days trading entirely below its 50 day moving average and in the process has put in the biggest break since the April 2013 low. I now think crude is headed back to that low at 86 and possibly lower than that.
December Gold:  The market is now headed below 1200.
December Silver: The market is now headed for 15.00.
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  The midpoint of the rally to 513 stands at 450. A close below 450 would mean that AAPL is headed below 385. In the meantime I will maintain my bullish stance.

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