Monday, September 30, 2013

Guesstimates on September 30, 2013

December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s day session range estimate is 1661-1674. The S&P 500 is on the verge of slipping below its 50 day moving average, thus joining the Dow which is below its 50 day moving average and moving me to the bear side of the market. If this happens the prognosis would be for at least a drop to 1599 where the break from the September 19 top would equal the size of the May-June drop.
QQQ:  The Q’s have been much stronger than the other averages. Support is at 75. Upside target is still 86.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think the market will move to 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro is headed for 1.4000.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is headed for 107.00.
November Crude:  Crude has put in the biggest break since the April 2013 low. I think crude is headed back to that low at 86 and possibly lower than that.
December Gold:  The market is now headed below 1200.
December Silver: The market is now headed for 15.00.
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  The midpoint of the rally to 513 stands at 450. A close below 450 would mean that AAPL is headed below 385. In the meantime I will maintain my bullish stance.

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