Friday, September 06, 2013

Guesstimates on September 6, 2013

September S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1654-67.  If the ES spends today trading above 1660 I will (temporarily) abandon my view that it is headed down to its June 24 low as 1553.
QQQ:  If the market starts accepting prices below 75 it is headed back down to 69 or lower.
TNX (ten year note yield): I think the market will move to 3.50% over the next few months.
Euro-US Dollar: The Euro has broken support at 1.3200 and this makes it likely that the market is headed down to 1.2800.
Dollar-Yen: The dollar-yen is headed for 107.00.
October Crude:  Crude has sagged back below 108 but as long as it holds its 50 day moving average at 103.54 I will stick with my 123 upside target.
December Gold:  Resistance stands in the 1425-50 zone. So far the market rally has stopped at 1434. The market has dropped below 1380 but I want to see it close below 1365 to convince me that 1380 support has been broken. If this happens a move down to 1200 and lower will be underway.  
December Silver: The market has reached resistance near 24.00 and will probably stall here before the bear market resumes.  
Google: Support is at 800 and I think the next step up will carry GOOG to 975.
Apple:  The 460 level is now support and as long as it holds I think AAPL will continue its rally to 560 or so.

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