Wednesday, January 04, 2006

Guesstimates on January 4 , 8:50 am ET

March S&P Futures:  The S&P’s are headed for 1298.  Meantime support is at 1265.

March Bonds: The bonds will probably drop to support now at 113-08 before rallying to 115-12. I expect a rally into the 115-116 zone before the bear market resumes.

March 10 Year Notes: The notes will probably drop back to support at 109-04 before rallying to 110-16. The notes will move into the 111-112 zone before the bear market resumes.

March Eurocurrency: I think Friday’s low at 118.25 will hold and that the market will now move up to 122.30.  

February Crude: I still think the market will take a peek above the 64.00 level before it drops 5 or 6 dollars, but if so it will hold support at 61.80. I expect crude to trade in a range of $54 to $64 for several months before going much lower.

February Gold: The 536 level is strong resistance and I think this market is now headed down to 470 or so. I think that the 544.90 high will hold for at least several months.

March Silver: The 921 level is strong resistance and I think the market will now drop to 760 or so. The high at 934.5 (electronic) will hold for at least several months.

Google: GOOG is now headed for a revised short term upside target of 470.

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