Thursday, June 03, 2010

Guesstimates on June 3, 2010

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1090-1110. I think the low at 1036.75 ended the drop from 1216. The base building process is pretty much complete. Reactions should now be about 10-20 points instead of the 30-40 points we saw during base building. Initial upside target is 1125. A move to 1300 is underway

QQQ: A move up to 54.00 will be the next big swing.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market is headed for 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market has begun a swing up to 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: The market is starting to stabilize. The 131 level is resistance. Support is at 122. I think a move to 140 will begin from current levels.

Dollar-Yen: A rally to 100.00 is underway. Support is at 90.00.

July Crude: I still think crude oil is headed for 50.00.

GLD – August Gold: The odds are that the market will continue upward to 1320. I still expect to see 875 before 1400. Support stands in the 1160-70 range.

SLV - July Silver: I think silver will rally to 21.50 and then begin a move to 10.oo.

Google: The 450 level is support. A move that should take GOOG above 700 will begin soon.

Apple: Should reach 350 (at least) before the bull market ends. Support is at 240.


Bill said...

With the VIX at 30 you'll still get 30 to 40 point reactions. Just normal part of the market.

I agree the market is going up though.

PM said...

Hi Carl,

Did you choose not to post my morning comment to you?