June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is 1388-1398. The rally from the March 6 low is getting close to resistance in the 1405-1415 range. The advancing issues oscillators are showing some important divergences so a drop of at least 70 points is likely to begin within the next couple of weeks.
QQQ: Next upside target is 66.25 has been reached. Support is now at 63.50 and the next upside target is 69.00.
TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has broken out to the upside from a narrow, multi-month trading range and has taken a peek above its declining 200 day moving average. I think this is a genuine breakout. It is telling us that the US economic growth is about to accelerate and this is a very bullish longer term development for the stock market. The 10 year yield has started a move to 3.00%.
Euro-US Dollar: I think the trend of the euro is now downward. Over the next few months I expect to see the market drop below 1.2600. Right now support is at 129.50.
Dollar-Yen: I think the market is headed for 85.00 and eventually will move to 90.00. This is a good sign for worldwide equity markets because it means that the Japanese central bank is trying to raise the growth rate of Japanese nominal national income and will probably succeed.
May Crude: An extended upswing is underway. It will probably take crude to 114 or so.
GLD – April Gold: Gold broke support at 1680 and will now probably drop to 1585. A move to 2100 is underway.
SLV - May Silver: I think silver is headed for 50.00. The 31.50 level is now support.
Google: Google is now headed for its 2007 top near 750.
Apple: Resistance is at 605 and support at 575. The market's upside run last week was extreme and I think AAPL will now trade sideways for a while.