Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Guesstimates on February 18, 2009

March S&P  E-mini Futures:  I think the break below the 805 level is a shakeout preceding a strong, high volume up move. This morning’s housing starts number was worse than expected but the market didn’t even blink. If I see strength above the 805 level I shall conclude that the trend has turned upward. Meantime I’ll stick with my downside target of 760-70.

QQQ: The Q’s are headed down to 28.50 or so. 

March Bonds: The bonds have dropped into the 126-27 target zone. The next big move in this market should be upward to 135. Any significant weakness below 125 will mean that a bear market is underway.   

March 10 Year Notes: The notes have yet to reach our 120 target. We think a substantial rally to 128 is imminent, but weakness below 120 would mean that a bear market is underway.   

Euro-US Dollar: The euro has broken below support at 127.50 and now is headed down to 122.50.

Dollar-Yen: I think the 87.50 level will hold and that a rally to 100.00 is underway. 

March Crude: March crude has entered the 30-35 target zone. I think the market will start stabilizing. The next big move should be a rally to 50.

GLD – April Gold: Gold has decisively breached the 935 level and this market is now headed for 1100.

 SLV - March Silver: I now think silver is headed for 1750.

Google: Resistance stands at 375. I think that its drop from 747 is over. 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The bottom fishers are here to protect their favorite S&P..The mean reversion is such a psych thingee--cant go 10% down every week --folks its an infinite series..
DOW 678 now who would have thunk it