Thursday, February 19, 2009

Guesstimates on February 19, 2009

March S&P  E-mini Futures:  I think the market is about to move above the 800 level on high volume.  If this happens it will signal the start of a big move up. The worst I see on the downside from here is 765.

QQQ: The Q’s are headed down to 28.50 or so.  

March Bonds: The bonds have dropped into the 126-27 target zone. The next big move in this market should be upward to 135. Any significant weakness below 125 will mean that a bear market is underway.   

March 10 Year Notes: The notes have yet to reach our 120 target. We think a substantial rally to 128 is imminent, but weakness below 120 would mean that a bear market is underway.   

Euro-US Dollar: The euro has broken below support at 127.50 and now is headed down to 122.50.

Dollar-Yen: I think the 87.50 level will hold and that a rally to 100.00 is underway. 

April Crude: The 30-35 zone is long term support. I think the market will start stabilizing. The next big move should be a rally to 50.

GLD – April Gold: Gold has decisively breached the 935 level and this market is now headed for 1100.

 SLV - March Silver: I now think silver is headed for 1750.

Google: Resistance stands at 375. I think that its drop from 747 is over. 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Uptick in inflation will freak out the bond market...