Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Guesstimates on May 8, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - June S&P Futures: The Spiders are on their way to support near 149.00 and the futures should drop to support near 1494. From those levels I expect the market to start a rally which will carry the futures to 1538 and the Spiders to 153.30.

QQQQ: Next upside target in the Q’s is at 47.30 while support stands at 45.80. I am looking for a move up to 50.00 or higher over the next few months.

TLT - June Bonds: The bonds have moved decisively above resistance at 111-20. A strong close today if accompanied by a strong close in the 10 year notes will turn me bullish on these markets. TLT will follow the trend in the bonds.

June 10 Year Notes: Resistance in the notes is at 108-10 and a close above the 108-16 level today will mean that the trend has turned upward.

Euro-US Dollar: The Euro is making a top at the same level as the December ’04 high of 136.66. I still think that the market will drop below the 130 level before it hits 137.50.

Dollar-Yen: The yen is headed for 123.50. Support is at 118.40. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

XLE - OIH - USO – June Crude: Both XLE and OIH have hit or closely approached their targets at 65 and 165 respectively. I think the next significant move in both will be downward. USO is headed for 45. June crude is headed for support at 56.50.

GLD - June Gold: I think GLD has started downward and will drop below 60 on its way to much lower levels. June gold should hold resistance at 696 and then drop below 600.

SLV - July Silver: SLV has bounced off of resistance near 141 and is on its way below 120. July silver is headed below the 1200 level.

Google: I think Google is headed for 564. Next upside target is 495 while support is at 465.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Carl, how are you arriving at the 1494 target? It seems you are looking at the largest reaction of 22 points from the low on 3/30? Is it really that simplistic, ie: subtracting 22 points from 1517?