Thursday, May 24, 2007

Guesstimates on May 24, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - June S&P Futures: I think that 153.50 in the Spiders is strong resistance and that the market will soon drop to 150.00. Resistance in the futures is at 1535 and I expect this market to drop to 1500 or so. After this upcoming reaction is complete the Spiders should rally into the 155-157 range.

: I think this market will soon break to 45.00. Resistance is 47.40. After this reaction I expect to see the Q’s trade near 50 or higher later this year.

TLT - June Bonds: I think that this market is headed for 107-16. TLT will follow the trend in the bonds and will probably drop to 85.00.

June 10 Year Notes: The notes are headed for 104-20.

Euro-US Dollar
: An extended decline is underway. Initial downside target is 133.50 but I think that the market will eventually drop to 125 or lower. Meantime resistance is at 136.70.

Dollar-Yen: The yen is headed for 123.50. Support is at 118.40. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

XLE - OIH - USO – July Crude
: I think XLE will stall near 68 and OIH near175, both new bull market highs. I think the next significant move in both will be downward. USO should bounce off of resistance near 50.60 and then drop to 45 or lower. July crude has nearly completed a rally phase which will end at a lower top near 68.00.

GLD - June Gold: I think GLD has started downward and will drop below 60 on its way to much lower levels. June gold should hold resistance at 696 and then drop below 600.

SLV - July Silver: SLV has bounced off of resistance near 141 and is on its way below 120. July silver is headed below the 1200 level.

Google: I think Google is headed for 564. Next upside target is 503 while support is at 456.

1 comment:

pleadership said...

I was curious as to your views or possibly adding the real estate sector to your coverage. It is widely followed and certainly market relevant.