Monday, December 31, 2007

Guesstimates on December 31, 8:40 am ET

Spiders - March S&P E-mini Futures: I am long from 1486 and using a 1461 stop. I think the next significant move from here will be upward to the next short term target at 1550. I think we shall see the futures trace above the 1600 level during the first quarter of 2008.

QQQQ: The Q’s are headed for 54.20 and eventually to the 60 level.

TLT - March Bonds: Resistance above the market is at 116-16. I think that a drop of 7-10 points is underway. TLT is headed for 87.

March 10 Year Notes: Resistance above the market is at 113-16. I think the notes have started a drop of about 5 points.

Euro-US Dollar: I think the euro is establishing a long-lasting top. Resistance above the market is at 148.20.

Dollar-Yen: I think the yen is headed upward in a multi-month move. Initial upside target is 117.00. Support is at 111.00.

XLE - OIH - USO – February Crude: The market is headed for 79.50. Crude has reached 96.50 resistance and the downtrend should now resume. USO should drop to 56, OIH to 140 and XLE to 60.

GLD - February Gold: I still think gold futures still have a shot at the 873 level but a drop below support at 780 will mean that an extended decline has started.

SLV - March Silver: I think is now is likely that the 1644 high in March silver will hold and that an extended decline has begun. The current rally should halt at a lower top near the 1570 level.

Google: GOOG is headed for 760.


Anonymous said...

Happy New Year Carl!


Cuccaa said...

Happy New Year Carl, I wish you the best in the coming year.