Wednesday, October 01, 2014

Guesstimates on October 1, 2014



December S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1948-1965. The ES rally yesterday failed to push the market above 1980 resistance so I think the trend is still downward. The ES is headed for the 200 day moving average level at 1894.
QQQ: Downside target is 94.  
TNX (ten year note yield): It looks like an extended up trend in yields has begun. The initial target is 3.00% but I think the 10 year yield will go significantly higher than that over the coming months.
Euro-US Dollar: The ECB quantitative easing program coupled with the Fed’s termination of its own program is likely to drop to Euro to 120.
Dollar-Yen: Next stop is 112.  
November Crude:   Resistance above the market is at 95. I expect the market to move below 90.
December Gold:  Gold is headed below 1100.  
December Silver: My bear market target remains 13.00.
Google:  GOOGL is headed for 650 and higher.
Apple:  I think AAPL is headed for 108.
Facebook: Upside target is 90.
Twitter: Upside target is 66.
Alibaba: Resistance is at 103 but I think that BABA will drop back to or below its IPO price of 68 before going much higher than 103.
Visa: I think the bull market in Visa is over and that the stock will soon slide below its 200 day moving average and stay there.

1 comment:

Carl Fredrik said...

Difficult trading right now...