Monday, October 29, 2007

Guesstimates on October 29, 8:15 am ET

Spiders - December S&P Futures: Still working the 1551 stop. If it is hit the odds would then favor continuation upward to new bull market highs, but only after a reaction of 10-20 points first.

QQQQ: Resistance today is again at 54.30 and I think we shall see another drop to 53.00 or so before the market moves up to 56.00.

TLT - December Bonds: I think the bonds will rally into the 114-115 range. Support stands at 113-06. TLT should rally into the 92-93 range.

December 10 Year Notes: It now looks like the notes will rally to 111-24 or so before a more substantial drop develops. Support is at 110-16.

Euro-US Dollar: Support beneath the market stands at 140.50. The historical high in the euro is 145.75 which was reached in 1992. My best guess is that the market will take a peek above there, probably hitting 146.00 and that this will be followed by a multi-month drop.

Dollar-Yen: Support in the yen is at 113.00. Looking ahead several months I expect to see the 130 level during the next 12 months.

XLE - OIH - USO – December Crude: Crude his headed for 96.50. The upside target for USO has been reached as has the 200-205 target for OIH. The 80 target for XLE was not reached but I don’t think the market will make it there now.

GLD - December Gold: The trend is still upward with target 800 and support is at 745.

SLV - December Silver: It looks like silver is headed back to 1500 and support is at 1330.

Google: I think that a rally to 705 is underway. Support is at 630.

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