Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Guesstimates on June18, 8:15 amET

Spiders - September S&P E-mini Futures: The S&P’s are headed for 1300. Resistance today is 1355. Once the market makes its low near 1300 I think it will move up to 1500.

QQQ: I now think the Q’s will drop into the 45-46 range before this reaction is complete.

TLT - September Bonds: The bonds are getting close to their 111 target but as yet I see no sign of an important low shaping up. TLT has nearly reached its 88 target.

September 10 Year Notes: The notes have reached the 111 level but there is still no sign of a significant low. I think the market will continue down to 109.

Euro-US Dollar: Resistance is still at 158.00. I think the market is on its way to 140.

Dollar-Yen: The yen is headed for 112.00. Support is now at 103.00.

XLE - OIH - USO – July Crude: Long term resistance remains in the 135-37 range and makes me think that the market’s next big move will be downward into the 112-115 zone.

GLD - August Gold: I think gold is headed for 750. Resistance is at 910.

SLV - July Silver: I think the trend in silver is downward and will carry the market at least to 1400.

Google: I think Google will drop into the 500-510 range before this reaction ends.


Anonymous said...

Carl if Google were to decline 12% S&P will definitely not hold @ 1300 and you will have to change your guesstimate. Thanks

AJAskey said...

Carl - I see where you got your previous level of 1340ish... followed by a move up. I cannot find a range/cycle that shows a move down to 1300ish and then be setup for a move back to 1500. I can see 3/4 retrace of the Mar-May range is around 1300ish, but this does not lead to a bullish move following. Can you tell us what you see that will take price up to 1500ish? Thanks.