Wednesday, May 10, 2006

Guesstimates on May 10, 8:50 am ET

June S&P Futures: The market is headed for 1350.  Short term resistance is at 1335 while support is at 1320.

June Bonds: I think a move to 107-16 has started.

June 10 Year Notes: I think a move to 106-00 has started.

Euro-US Dollar: I don’t think the market will move much past 127.50 before beginning an extended drop. Short term support is at 127.25 and weakness below there will mean a big break has started. I think the next big move should carry from here to below 116.

Dollar-Yen: The market has nearly reached my 110.20 target. I think we will now see some sideways action preparing the ground for a big move up. Resistance today is at 111.30.

June Crude: The  upside target at the 74.30 level, the 7 5/8 multiple of the all time low at 9.75, has been reached and I think the market is on its way below $60.

June Gold: The market is on its way to 725. Support is at 675.

July Silver: I think silver has started a move to 920 or so. Resistance above the market is at 1445.

Google: It looks like the drop from 455 is only the first phase of a three phase correction. I expect a rally into the 425-430 zone and then another drop to 370 or so. I still think GOOG will make it to 495 before it drops below 331.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

carl,
great call on BIDU. why is gold not falling yet?
nate