Tuesday, May 02, 2006

Guesstimates on May 2, 8:50 am ET

June S&P Futures: I think yesterday’s Bartiromo break was a shakeout and that the market is on its way to 1350.  Support is still at 1309.  

June Bonds: I think the bonds will rally to 107-12

June 10 Year Notes: The notes wll rally to 106-00.  

Euro-US Dollar: The market is stalling at 126.50 resistance and I think the next big move should carry from here to below 116.

Dollar-Yen: The market reached my downside target at the 112.50 level. The next big move in the dollar-yen will be upward. Resistance today is at 114.20.

June Crude: The  upside target at the 74.30 level, the 7 5/8 multiple of the all time low at 9.75, has been reached and I think the market is on its way below $60.

June Gold: The 661 level is strong resistance as the 2 5/8 multiple of the 252 low. Resistance today is at 669.

July Silver: Silver resumed its rally Friday but I think that the 1410 level will prove to be strong resistance. I also think that the next big move will be downward to 920.

Google: It looks like the drop from 455 is only the first phase of a three phase correction. The low of the first phase should develop near 400 and from there a 20-30 point rally is likely. I expect to see the 495 level in a month or two.  

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