Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Guesstimates on December 29, 2009

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate for the March contract is 1118-1130. The market has broken out from its 1080-1115 trading range. Even so, I think we shall see a reaction of 15-25 points before the 1140 level is reached. I also expect the market to reach the 1170 level during the next month or so.

QQQ: Upside target is 47.50.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market has begun a move to 5.00%.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market has begun a swing up to 4.30%.

Euro-US Dollar: A drop to 140 is underway. My best guess is that 140 will be only temporary support and that the market will drop to 125 over the next couple of months.

Dollar-Yen: The yen has moved above the 91.00 level and this means that a rally to 100.00 is underway.

February Crude: I think that crude is headed down to 50.00. Resistance is at 79.00.

GLD – February Gold: The longer term trend has turned downward. I expect gold to drop to 875 over the next few months. Resistance above the market is at 1125.

SLV - March Silver: I now think silver has started a down move that will carry it to 10.00 over the next few months.

Google: Next upside target is 660. Support remains at 565.

2 comments:

P said...

Carl:
As we approach month end, I did consider supporting the blog again -- but while 'Tis the season, I haven't had a home run for a while .. and the blog hasn't been trading ES either. Sorry I won't be contributing this month, hope the blog resumes ES trades in Jan with return of volume/end of holiday season and market clarity. If I do make money off the blog's ideas in Jan, will sure contribute Jan month end.

A belated happy holidays!
PA

me said...

S&P is heading down for a small pullback at least 3-4 days, down to 1105.