Monday, April 19, 2010

Guesstimates on April 19, 2010

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1180 - 1193. I expect the drop that started from 1210 to end near 1163 sometime this week. Once the correction is complete a move to 1270 should start.

QQQ: A drop to 48. 80 or so is likely.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market is headed for 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market has begun a swing up to 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: Support is near 131.00. Resistance above the market is at 141.00. Looking further ahead I think that a drop to 125 is likely over the coming months.

Dollar-Yen: A rally to 100.00 is underway. Support is at 90.00.

May Crude: I still think the next big move will take crude oil to 50.00.

GLD – June Gold: The longer term trend has turned downward. I expect gold to drop to 875 over the next few months.

SLV - May Silver: I think silver has started a down move that will carry it to 10.00 over the next few months. Resistance is now 18.30.

Google: A move that should take GOOG above 700 is underway. 540 is now support.


Yash said...

1163 is also my target but from 1163 to 1270 in one go? I have one more bigger correction before reaching 1270. So 1163 to 1228-1235 or so then one more bigger correction and then to 1270 in late summer like jule end.


TMG2010 said...

We may have just set the right shoulder of the H&S on the chart. If that is the case, then it is down to 1166-1170 on cash S&P. I may be taking a gamble but I added to my short position at 1196 cash S&P.

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