Friday, April 30, 2010

Guesstimates on April 30, 2010

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1202 - 1215. A swing to 1270 is underway.

QQQ: A move up to 54.00 is underway.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market is headed for 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): I think that the market has begun a swing up to 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: Support is near 131.00. Resistance above the market is at 141.00. Looking further ahead I think that a drop to 125 is likely over the coming months.

Dollar-Yen: A rally to 100.00 is underway. Support is at 90.00.

June Crude: I still think the next big move will take crude oil to 50.00.

GLD – June Gold: The longer term trend has turned downward. Resistance is at 1187. I expect gold to drop to 875 over the next few months.

SLV - May Silver: I think silver has started a down move that will carry it to 10.00 over the next few months. Resistance is now 19.00.

Google: A move that should take GOOG above 700 is underway. It now looks like the drop from the temporary high at 630 will continued down to 505.

Apple: Should reach 350 (at least) before the bull market ends. Support is at 240.


Adam said...

Carl - are your thoughts on GOOG still current? what type of action would cause you to think the drop from 630 has ended and it has resumed its expected move to 700?


valeriobrl said...

Stopped out flat and loking closely @1186 area

extrader said...

If you lose 1194ES, that would be a bearish development!