Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Guesstimates on August 18, 2010

September S&P E-mini Futures: I think yesterday's action was an upside trading range breakout. Today's range estimate is 1084-1104. The market is headed for the 1140 level. I think that a new upward leg in the bull market started from the 1003 low made July 5.

QQQQ: A new upward leg in the bull market has started. Next upside target is 50.00.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): Long term support is at 3.85%. The bonds will soon begin a move to 5.40%.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has dropped more than I expected. Still, I think the next big move in yields will be upward. The 2.65% level now looks like support. I think that the notes will soon begin a swing up to 4.50%.

Euro-US Dollar: A move into the 135-40 zone is underway.

Dollar-Yen: A rally to 100.00 is underway. Support is now at 85.50.

September Crude: I still think crude oil is headed for 50.00.

GLD – December Gold: The odds are that the market will continue upward to 1320. But any weakness below 1150 will mean that a drop to 875 has begun.

SLV - September Silver: I think silver will rally to 21.50 and then begin a move to 10.oo.

Google: The 470 level is now support. A move that should take GOOG above 700 will begin soon.

Apple: Should reach 350 (at least) before the bull market ends. Support is at 240.


extrader said...

i think this market is heading down to the 1050-60 area after a weak close yesterday! jmo


extrader said...

below 1083 for me would be Bearish development!


Nav said...

Atleast looking for 1095-1097.

catherine said...

The yen is starting to look like 'find me a support, this one has broken.'
My target is 0.7850. I guess we have diagmetrically opposite views on this market.

MC said...

interesting view on the yen, can you argument more on this pls ? Cheers. MC.