Monday, July 13, 2009

Guesstimates on July 13, 2009

September S&P E-mini Futures: I think the market is building a base in the 865-885 zone. Today's day session range will be 875-890. The e-minis are in the early stage of a move which will carry into the 965-80 zone.

QQQ: Support is at 34.00. The next upside target is 39.90.

TYX (thirty year bond yield): Support is at 4.20%. The next big move will be a swing upward in yield to above the 5.00% level.

TNX (ten year note yield): Support is at 3.25. I think that the next swing up is about to begin and should take the yield on the notes to 4.30%.

Euro-US Dollar: There is no sign of a top. Support is at 137.50 and I think the market will continue upward to 146.00.

Dollar-Yen: The yen has reached the 92.50 downside target and soon will begin a move up to 105.00.

August Crude: The trend in crude oil is now downward and will carry the market as least to the 55.00 level. Resistance above the market is at 65.00.

GLD – August Gold: Support at 920 was broken. I want to give this uptrend the benefit of the doubt so I will wait for weakness below 900 before I conclude that the market is headed much lower.

SLV - September Silver: Silver is headed to 1700. Support is at 1250.

Google: Support is at 395. Next upside target is 500.

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