Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Guesstimates on July 25, 9:00 am ET

Spiders - September S&P Futures: The S&P’s are headed for 1500 and the Spiders for 149.00. Today resistance is at 1531 and 152.10 respectively. Once the break is over I shall be expecting a move to 1596 and 158.50 respectively.

QQQQ: Support is at 49.00. Next upside target is 53.00.

TLT - September Bonds: The bonds should hold support near 107-28. Next upside target is 109-16 and there the rally from 104-16 is likely to end. Support in TLT is at 85.50 and the upside target is 86.50.

September 10 Year Notes
: The notes should continue a bit further to 107-08 before the rally ends. Support is at 105-20.

Euro-US Dollar: Resistance at 137.80 is still stalling the market but any strength above that level will mean that the market will continue up to 140.00

: Next upside target for the yen is 125.50. Support is at 119.80. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

XLE - OIH - USO – September Crude
: It looks like resistance near 76.20 has stalled crude oil and I think the next substantial move from here will be downward to the 66.00 level. XLE has reached 76 and OIH has reached 190 and both should turn down from here. The 57.80 level looks like the ceiling for USO.

GLD - August Gold: I think GLD will drop below 60 on its way to much lower levels. Resistance in GLD is 68.50. It now looks like August gold will make it up to 695 before heading downward once more.

SLV - September Silver: SLV should bounce off of resistance near 133 and then drop below 120. September silver should stall at resistance near 1370 and then head below the 1200 level.

Google: I think the market will next find support near 497 and then resume its rally. Next upside target is 580-85. Google will trade above the 600 level later this year.


BH_Trade said...


Do you look at IWM? Been beaten to near death lately. Curious what your analytics tell you on that one.


Anonymous said...

Tend to think this retrace is over, but may be wrong; could it be 22 to 23?


Anonymous said...


Do you have a comment on the adv/dec going down even on many up days lately?

Additionally, new lows and new highs have both been quite large on up days. Do you have comments about the large number of new lows as the markets are making new highs?