Thursday, June 14, 2007

Guesstimates on June 14, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - September S&P Futures: The S&P’s should stall at 1535 and then begin a move down to the correction target at 1470. The Spiders should stall at 152.50 and then begin a move down to 145.50. I am expecting new highs for the bull market in July.

QQQQ: The Q’s will bounce off of resistance near 47.30 and then drop to 45.50.

TLT - September Bonds: I think the bond market has probably made an important low and is about to being a multi-week rally of at least 5 points. TLT dropped lower than I expected but the 81.50 level is very strong support and I think a sustained rally is about to start.

September 10 Year Notes
: I think the market is establishing a low and will rally several weeks from here and at least 3 or 4 points.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro has broken support at 133.30 and is now headed down to 130.00. I think that the market will eventually drop to 125 or lower.

Dollar-Yen: The yen is headed for 123.50. Support is at 121.10. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

XLE - OIH - USO – July Crude: I think XLE is making a top near 69 and that OIH is making its top near 173. The next significant move in both will be downward. USO should drop to 45 or lower after bouncing off of 50.60 resistance. July crude has completed a rally phase and is now headed down to 55.00 and eventually lower than that.

GLD - August Gold: I think GLD has started downward and will drop below 60 on its way to much lower levels. August gold should hold resistance at 696 and drop below 600.

SLV - July Silver: SLV is on its way below 120. July silver is headed below the 1200 level.

Google: I think Google is headed for 564. Google should hold support near 500. Next upside target is 535.


Anonymous said...

I am new to your site, been referred by a long-term reader of yours :-) I see you expect the markets to make new highs in July.. any targets for SPX, Russell, Dow? Also, I read your 2007 forecast, any adjustment/changes? You are expecting the second off of 2007 to be quite bearish, still on? And 2008 uptrend again?

Tx so much!


Anonymous said...


SPY exceeded your target on of 152.50. do you still think SPY is headed to 145.50? thanks