Thursday, July 05, 2007

Guesstimates on July 5, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - September S&P Futures: Upside targets are 1570 for the S&P’s and 155.50 for the Spiders. Support in the S&P’s is 1523 and in the Spiders is 151.00.

QQQQ: I think the Q’s are on the way to 48.70.

TLT - September Bonds: Support in the bonds is at 106-20. Next upside target is 108-20. I think the bond market is in the middle of a multi-week rally of at least 5 points. TLT should move to 86.50.

September 10 Year Notes: Support is at 105-00 and the next upside target for the notes is 106-16. I think the market will rally at least 3 or 4 points from its low at 103-21.

Euro-US Dollar: The market should stall near its last top at 136.80. I think that the market will eventually drop to 125 or lower before it goes as high as 138.

Dollar-Yen: Next upside target for the yen is 125.50. Support is at 122.30. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 later this year.

XLE - OIH - USO – August Crude: Crude has broken above its important 70.00 resistance level so I think it is now heading up to 76.20. If I am right about this XLE should rally further to 76 and OIH should hit 190. USO should move up to 56.50.

GLD - August Gold: I think GLD has started downward and will drop below 60 on its way to much lower levels. August gold should hold resistance at 665 and drop below 600.

SLV - July Silver
: SLV is on its way below 120. July silver should stall at resistance near 1295 and is headed below the 1200 level.

Google: I think Google is headed for 564. Support now is at 512. Next upside target is 552.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Carl, your Q's target was hit, while SPY continues to show relative weakness and is seeing resistance to print a higher high . How do you think the current non-confirmation will unravel?

Thanks for your great work, as always!

Robert said...

And we are there!

I am quite amazed how fast those QQQQs hit 48.7. Where now? Doesn't seem like a correction is imminent, in fact, quite the contrary.

50.75?

Gary said...

It would certainly not be irresponsible to think the S&P will eventually challenge the all time high. If it does I would expect the Q's to contiune rising as well. So $50.75 doesn't seem all that far off. I think the point and figure charts still show a $57 price objective.
Did anyone else see where investors intelligence is showing the largest number of advisors in ten years predicting a 10% correction in the next 12 months. We need to elimanate this negativity before the markets can mount a serious decline. IMO