Monday, February 05, 2007

Guesstimates on February 5, 8:50 am ET

Spiders - March S&P Futures: I expect the Spiders to stall briefly near 145.00. Support is at 144.00. The futures have nearly reached the 1455-58 range and will probably react 10 points or so before resuming the rally. Support in the futures is at 1445.

QQQQ: The Q’s should rally up to 47-48.

TLT - March Bonds: TLT should find support near 86.50. I expect the market to start a trading range in this vicinity which should be followed a rally to 94-95. The bonds should find support near 109-24 and then rally to 111-00. After that the market will probably drop to 108-28. I think a basing process has begun that will be followed by a move above the 115 level.

March 10 Year Notes
: The notes will probably drop to 106-12, rally to 107-08 and then drop again to 105-24. I think the market has begun a basing process. After it is complete I expect a move to above the 110 level.

Euro-US Dollar: The euro rally should hold resistance at 130.50 and then begin a drop to support near 126.90.

Dollar-Yen: The yen should hold support near 119.80 and then rally to 123.20. I expect to see the yen trade at 130 in 2007.

OIH - USO - March Crude: Upside target for OIH is 140. After a reaction USO should move up to 51. This morning crude got within 60 cents of the 60.00 target without any reaction first. The next move should be a drop to 54.00.

GLD - April Gold: GLD is headed for the 67-69 range before the bear market resumes. Switching to the April contract in gold. I expect April gold to rally to 675-690 and then resume its bear market.

March Silver: I think silver is on its way up to 1395. From there the bear market should resume.

Google: A move up to 564 is underway. Support is at 477.


Anonymous said...

Hi Carl, What is your updated projection on MSFT? Earlier you had target of mid to high 30's - is it the same?

Thanks for your great work!

Anonymous said...

Has Google broken down?

Anonymous said...

when 479.50 broke, the next downside was 465.37.. in approaching that level, goog has set up as perfect a bullish chart as my tools allow.the only caveat is the fact that such a textbook setup known to many traders has occured in a widely followed stock.price must lead NOW.