Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Guesstimates on March 15 , 8:50 am ET

June S&P Futures: The market is on its way to 1325. Support today is  at 1298.

June Bonds: There is still a good chance that the bonds will reach the 111-16 level after a reaction that started from yesterday’s high is complete.  I think the market is on its way into the 107-108 zone over the next few months.

June 10 Year Notes: The notes have nearly reached resistance at 107-12 and I think the next big swing from here will be downward. I think notes will reach 104 or so in a few months.

Cash US Dollar -Euro: I changed my mind yesterday about the market’s short term direction. It should reach the 121.10 level within a few days. Strength past there would imply continuation up to 125.00.

May Crude: Switching to the May contract today. Yesterday’s action made me raise the upside target for this rally to 66.50. I still think that over the next few months the market will drop to 52.00 or lower.

April Gold: I now think gold is headed for 598 or so after having completed a three phase drop to 534.

May Silver: I now think that silver is headed  for 1095.  

Google: Google will probably stall near short term resistance at 355 but any reaction from there should stop above the 331 low. I am still convinced that the next significant development will be a rally to 405 and then to 495.

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