Monday, March 06, 2006

Guesstimates on March 6 , 8:50 am ET

March S&P Futures:  The late break Friday surprised me but I think the 1280 level is going to hold.  Next upside target is 1304 and after that 1320.

June Bonds: Next downside target is 110-12. I think the market is on its way into the 107-108 zone.

June 10 Year Notes:  Next downside target is 106-16. I think notes will reach 104 or so in a few months.

Cash Eurocurrency: The market should hold below 120.80. The next downside target is116.70. A drop to 113 and below is underway.    

April Crude: Resistance is near 63.50 and the next swing should drop the market to 57.20. Crude is headed for 52.00 and eventually lower than that.

April Gold: Still holding resistance at 570 but silver’s upside breakout makes me think gold can move up to 590 before a big drop begins.

May Silver: Yesterday’s upside breakout on high volume means that the market is headed for 1095.  Meantime support should be at 1000.

Google: GOOG will probably react to 370 or so but then rally to 405 and then to 495 in a couple of months.

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